AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Feb 23, 2025

Juticalpa

Home
VS
21:00

Génesis

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Juticalpa Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Génesis Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.06 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Juticalpa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 0-3
Feb 09 Juticalpa vs Victoria 0-1
Jan 29 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 1-0
Jan 26 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 3-0
Jan 19 Juticalpa vs CD Marath… 0-0
Dec 01 Juticalpa vs Génesis 3-0
Nov 24 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 1-3
Nov 06 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 3-0
Nov 03 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 0-2
Oct 28 Juticalpa vs Victoria 4-0
Génesis Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Génesis vs Victoria 1-0
Jan 19 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Dec 07 Génesis vs Real Espa… 2-0
Dec 05 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Dec 01 Génesis vs Juticalpa 3-0
Oct 27 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Oct 05 Génesis vs Victoria 2-1
Sep 29 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 4-0
Sep 22 Génesis vs Juticalpa 0-0
Aug 17 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2024 Génesis 3 - 0 Juticalpa Liga Nacional
Sep 22, 2024 Juticalpa 0 - 0 Génesis Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Juticalpa to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Juticalpa Power 0
Génesis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.