AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Dec 01, 2024
Génesis
HomeVS
01:00
Juticalpa
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
Draw
Juticalpa Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.90 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (12%)
0-0 (10%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
Génesis Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Génesis vs Victoria | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Génesis vs CD Olimpia | 4-0 |
| Sep 22 | Génesis vs Juticalpa | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 1-0 |
| Aug 04 | Génesis vs Victoria | 2-2 |
| Jul 28 | Génesis vs CD Olimpia | 0-3 |
| Apr 24 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Génesis vs Victoria | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Génesis vs CD Olimpia | 4-0 |
Juticalpa Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24 | Juticalpa vs CD Motagua | 1-3 |
| Nov 06 | Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… | 3-0 |
| Nov 03 | Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia | 0-2 |
| Oct 28 | Juticalpa vs Victoria | 4-0 |
| Oct 20 | Juticalpa vs CD Marath… | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Juticalpa vs Génesis | 0-0 |
| Sep 18 | Juticalpa vs CD Motagua | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… | 4-1 |
| Aug 26 | Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | Juticalpa vs Victoria | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0 - 0 | Génesis | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Génesis to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Génesis Power
0
Juticalpa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.