AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Dec 01, 2024

Génesis

Home
VS
01:00

Juticalpa

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Juticalpa Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.90 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Génesis Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Oct 05 Génesis vs Victoria 2-1
Sep 29 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 4-0
Sep 22 Génesis vs Juticalpa 0-0
Aug 17 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-0
Aug 04 Génesis vs Victoria 2-2
Jul 28 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 0-3
Apr 24 Génesis vs Real Espa… 2-1
Mar 14 Génesis vs Victoria 0-0
Mar 10 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 4-0
Juticalpa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 1-3
Nov 06 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 3-0
Nov 03 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 0-2
Oct 28 Juticalpa vs Victoria 4-0
Oct 20 Juticalpa vs CD Marath… 1-1
Sep 22 Juticalpa vs Génesis 0-0
Sep 18 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 3-0
Aug 31 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 4-1
Aug 26 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Aug 18 Juticalpa vs Victoria 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2024 Juticalpa 0 - 0 Génesis Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Génesis to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Génesis Power 0
Juticalpa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.