AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Sep 01, 2024

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
20:00

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Deportes Tolima Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.16 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Bucaramanga Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-1
Aug 24 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Aug 08 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Jul 21 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-0
Jun 16 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-2
Jun 09 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-0
May 22 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
May 20 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-1
May 15 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Apr 28 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Deportes Tolima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Aug 10 Deportes … vs La Equida… 5-1
Jun 03 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-2
May 23 Deportes … vs La Equida… 3-0
May 18 Deportes … vs La Equida… 2-3
May 05 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-0
Apr 12 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 2-1
Mar 29 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 0-2
Mar 16 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-1
Mar 10 Deportes … vs Independi… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Bucaramanga struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2024 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Sep 02, 2023 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.