AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Feb 22, 2024

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
21:00

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bucaramanga Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 2.32 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Deportes Tolima Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Feb 10 Deportes … vs La Equida… 1-1
Dec 07 Deportes … vs Junior 4-2
Dec 02 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 0-1
Nov 30 Deportes … vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 25 Deportes … vs Deportivo… 4-2
Nov 18 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 0-4
Nov 14 Deportes … vs Junior 3-1
Oct 23 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 0-1
Oct 16 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 1-0
Bucaramanga Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Feb 07 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Jan 29 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Oct 11 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-0
Sep 21 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-2
Sep 16 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 3-0
Sep 12 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 0-1
Sep 02 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 0-0
Aug 17 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Apr 25 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 02, 2023 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.