AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Sep 02, 2023

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
01:10

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Bucaramanga Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.61 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Deportes Tolima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Deportes … vs La Equida… 0-0
Aug 17 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-0
Jul 29 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 1-1
Jul 26 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-0
May 06 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-1
Apr 29 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 2-0
Apr 01 Deportes … vs Independi… 1-1
Mar 21 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Mar 14 Deportes … vs La Equida… 1-0
Feb 06 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 4-2
Bucaramanga Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Apr 25 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 1-1
Apr 13 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 25 Bucaraman… vs Alianza P… 2-0
Mar 21 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 1-1
Aug 07 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Aug 01 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-1
Feb 11 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Feb 06 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-1
Nov 15 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.