AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Mar 21, 2023

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
23:10

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Deportes Tolima Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.99 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Bucaramanga Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Aug 01 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-1
Feb 11 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Feb 06 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-1
Nov 15 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 1-1
Oct 23 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Oct 27 Bucaraman… vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Deportes Tolima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Deportes … vs La Equida… 1-0
Feb 06 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 4-2
Oct 13 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 2-0
Oct 02 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 1-2
Aug 22 Deportes … vs La Equida… 1-1
Aug 17 Deportes … vs Independi… 0-1
Aug 13 Deportes … vs Santa Fe 2-1
Aug 01 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 2-1
Jun 09 Deportes … vs La Equida… 1-0
Apr 25 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Bucaramanga struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 01, 2022 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.