AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Aug 01, 2022

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
23:00

Deportes Tolima

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Deportes Tolima Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.87 - 0.50
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (25%) 1-0 (22%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Bucaramanga Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Feb 06 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-1
Nov 15 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 1-1
Oct 23 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Oct 27 Bucaraman… vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Deportes Tolima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 09 Deportes … vs La Equida… 1-0
Apr 25 Deportes … vs Alianza P… 0-2
Apr 09 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 3-0
Feb 06 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 2-1
Nov 15 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Nov 03 Deportes … vs Rionegro … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Nov 15, 2021 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bucaramanga Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Deportes Tolima Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.