AI Match Insights

DFB Pokal Oct 28, 2025

FC Heidenheim

Home
VS
17:30

Hamburger SV

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
FC Heidenheim Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Hamburger SV Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.38 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Heidenheim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
FC Heidenheim Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 FC Heiden… vs 1899 Hoff… 3-1
Oct 18 FC Heiden… vs Werder Br… 2-2
Oct 05 FC Heiden… vs VfB Stutt… 1-0
Sep 27 FC Heiden… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
Sep 20 FC Heiden… vs Hamburger… 2-1
Sep 13 FC Heiden… vs Borussia … 0-2
Aug 30 FC Heiden… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Aug 23 FC Heiden… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-3
Aug 16 FC Heiden… vs Bahlinger… 0-5
Aug 09 FC Heiden… vs Parma 2-1
Hamburger SV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Hamburger… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-1
Oct 18 Hamburger… vs RB Leipzig 2-1
Oct 05 Hamburger… vs FSV Mainz… 4-0
Sep 28 Hamburger… vs Union Ber… 0-0
Sep 20 Hamburger… vs FC Heiden… 2-1
Sep 13 Hamburger… vs Bayern Mu… 5-0
Aug 29 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 0-2
Aug 24 Hamburger… vs Borussia … 0-0
Aug 16 Hamburger… vs Pirmasens 1-2
Aug 09 Hamburger… vs Mallorca 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Heidenheim struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Hamburger SV 2 - 1 FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Heidenheim to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Heidenheim Power 21
Hamburger SV Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.