AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Dec 29, 2025

Portsmouth FC

Home
VS
19:45

Charlton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Portsmouth FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Charlton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.26 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portsmouth FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Charlton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Portsmouth FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Portsmout… vs QPR 1-1
Dec 20 Portsmout… vs Derby 1-1
Dec 13 Portsmout… vs Blackburn 2-1
Dec 09 Portsmout… vs Swansea 1-0
Nov 29 Portsmout… vs Bristol C… 0-1
Nov 26 Portsmout… vs Sheffield… 3-0
Nov 22 Portsmout… vs Millwall 3-1
Nov 08 Portsmout… vs Hull City 3-2
Nov 05 Portsmout… vs Wrexham 0-0
Nov 01 Portsmout… vs Birmingham 4-0
Charlton Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Charlton vs Norwich C… 1-0
Dec 20 Charlton vs Oxford Un… 1-0
Dec 13 Charlton vs Birmingham 1-1
Dec 09 Charlton vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Nov 29 Charlton vs Coventry 3-1
Nov 25 Charlton vs Stoke City 3-0
Nov 22 Charlton vs Southampt… 1-5
Nov 08 Charlton vs Wrexham 1-0
Nov 04 Charlton vs West Brom 1-0
Nov 01 Charlton vs Swansea 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Charlton struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 Charlton 2 - 0 Portsmouth FC Friendlies Clu…
Feb 24, 2024 Charlton 0 - 0 Portsmouth FC Pro League
Feb 24, 2024 Charlton 0 - 0 Portsmouth FC League One
Nov 11, 2023 Portsmouth FC 2 - 2 Charlton League One
Jan 01, 2023 Portsmouth FC 1 - 3 Charlton League One
Oct 17, 2022 Charlton 3 - 0 Portsmouth FC League One
Jan 31, 2022 Portsmouth FC 1 - 2 Charlton League One
Sep 25, 2021 Charlton 2 - 2 Portsmouth FC League One
Feb 02, 2021 Charlton 1 - 3 Portsmouth FC League One
Oct 31, 2020 Portsmouth FC 0 - 2 Charlton League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portsmouth FC to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portsmouth FC Power 31
Charlton Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Portsmouth FC Position

-2

Position Gap

17

Charlton Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 19%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.