AI Match Insights

EFL Trophy Dec 02, 2025

Leyton Orient

Home
VS
19:00

Plymouth

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Leyton Orient Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Plymouth Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 1.98 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Leyton Orient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Leyton Orient Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Leyton Or… vs Burton Al… 0-4
Nov 22 Leyton Or… vs Blackpool 1-1
Nov 15 Leyton Or… vs Exeter Ci… 2-1
Nov 08 Leyton Or… vs Wycombe 4-1
Nov 03 Leyton Or… vs Tamworth 0-1
Oct 28 Leyton Or… vs Aston Vil… 1-0
Oct 25 Leyton Or… vs Lincoln 1-0
Oct 18 Leyton Or… vs Rotherham… 1-0
Oct 11 Leyton Or… vs Doncaster 4-0
Oct 07 Leyton Or… vs Crawley T… 2-1
Plymouth Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Plymouth vs Northampt… 0-3
Nov 22 Plymouth vs Port Vale 0-1
Nov 11 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 1-0
Nov 08 Plymouth vs Huddersfi… 3-1
Nov 01 Plymouth vs Wycombe 2-0
Oct 28 Plymouth vs Mansfield… 2-0
Oct 23 Plymouth vs Exeter Ci… 2-0
Oct 18 Plymouth vs AFC Wimbl… 1-2
Oct 04 Plymouth vs Wigan 1-1
Sep 27 Plymouth vs Brighton 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leyton Orient in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Plymouth struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 19, 2025 Plymouth 0 - 1 Leyton Orient League One
Aug 08, 2023 Plymouth 2 - 0 Leyton Orient League Cup
Sep 15, 2020 Leyton Orient 3 - 2 Plymouth League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Leyton Orient to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leyton Orient Power 32
Plymouth Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Leyton Orient Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Plymouth Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.