AI Match Insights
EFL Trophy Dec 02, 2025
Leyton Orient
HomeVS
19:00
Plymouth
AwayAI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Leyton Orient Win
Draw
Plymouth Win
Home Win
(59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
82%
Market
50%
Combined: 65%
Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 1.98 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Leyton Orient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
Leyton Orient Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | Leyton Or… vs Burton Al… | 0-4 |
| Nov 22 | Leyton Or… vs Blackpool | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Leyton Or… vs Exeter Ci… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Leyton Or… vs Wycombe | 4-1 |
| Nov 03 | Leyton Or… vs Tamworth | 0-1 |
| Oct 28 | Leyton Or… vs Aston Vil… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Leyton Or… vs Lincoln | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Leyton Or… vs Rotherham… | 1-0 |
| Oct 11 | Leyton Or… vs Doncaster | 4-0 |
| Oct 07 | Leyton Or… vs Crawley T… | 2-1 |
Plymouth Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | Plymouth vs Northampt… | 0-3 |
| Nov 22 | Plymouth vs Port Vale | 0-1 |
| Nov 11 | Plymouth vs Bristol R… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Plymouth vs Huddersfi… | 3-1 |
| Nov 01 | Plymouth vs Wycombe | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | Plymouth vs Mansfield… | 2-0 |
| Oct 23 | Plymouth vs Exeter Ci… | 2-0 |
| Oct 18 | Plymouth vs AFC Wimbl… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Plymouth vs Wigan | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Plymouth vs Brighton | 0-4 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Leyton Orient in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Plymouth struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2025 | Plymouth | 0 - 1 | Leyton Orient | League One |
| Aug 08, 2023 | Plymouth | 2 - 0 | Leyton Orient | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Leyton Orient | 3 - 2 | Plymouth | League Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Leyton Orient to win (51% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Leyton Orient Power
32
Plymouth Power
33
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Leyton Orient Position+1
Position Gap2
Plymouth Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.