AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
EFL Trophy Dec 02, 2025

Bolton

Home
VS
19:00

Brentford

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Brentford Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.35 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Brentford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Bolton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Bolton vs Luton 1-1
Nov 22 Bolton vs Bradford 0-0
Nov 11 Bolton vs Oldham 2-6
Nov 08 Bolton vs Port Vale 4-0
Nov 01 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Oct 31 Bolton vs Forest Gr… 4-3
Oct 28 Bolton vs Brighton … 3-1
Oct 25 Bolton vs Cardiff 1-0
Oct 16 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 1-2
Oct 11 Bolton vs Carlisle 5-2
Brentford Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Brentford vs Burnley 3-1
Nov 22 Brentford vs Brighton 2-1
Nov 11 Brentford vs Doncaster 3-1
Nov 09 Brentford vs Newcastle… 3-1
Nov 01 Brentford vs Crystal P… 2-0
Nov 01 Brentford vs Chelsea 1-0
Oct 28 Brentford vs Grimsby 0-5
Oct 25 Brentford vs Liverpool 3-2
Oct 20 Brentford vs West Ham 0-2
Oct 14 Brentford vs Everton U… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Brentford struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Bolton 1 - 5 Brentford Pro League
Dec 02, 2023 Brentford 3 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Mar 06, 2021 Brentford 1 - 1 Bolton League Two
Oct 27, 2020 Bolton 1 - 0 Brentford League Two
Sep 05, 2020 Bolton 1 - 2 Brentford League Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
Bolton Power 39
Brentford Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.