AI Match Insights

Federation Cup Feb 17, 2026

Bangladesh Police

Home
VS
08:45

Fortis

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bangladesh Police Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Fortis Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.80 - 1.02
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bangladesh Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Fortis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (17%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Bangladesh Police Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Banglades… vs Arambagh 0-3
Dec 20 Banglades… vs Bashundha… 2-1
Dec 13 Banglades… vs PWD Sport… 0-0
Dec 06 Banglades… vs Fakirerpo… 1-1
Dec 02 Banglades… vs Arambagh 0-1
Nov 28 Banglades… vs Abahani 2-0
Nov 24 Banglades… vs Fortis 0-0
Oct 19 Banglades… vs Mohammeda… 1-1
May 27 Banglades… vs Rahmatgon… 4-1
May 21 Banglades… vs Fortis 1-1
Fortis Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 27 Fortis vs Brothers … 1-1
Dec 20 Fortis vs Fakirerpo… 3-0
Dec 16 Fortis vs Arambagh 0-4
Dec 12 Fortis vs Rahmatgon… 0-1
Dec 06 Fortis vs Abahani 0-0
Dec 02 Fortis vs Mohammeda… 1-1
Nov 28 Fortis vs Arambagh 0-1
Nov 24 Fortis vs Banglades… 0-0
Oct 20 Fortis vs Bashundha… 2-1
May 21 Fortis vs Banglades… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bangladesh Police in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Fortis in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 24, 2025 Fortis 0 - 0 Bangladesh Police Premier League
May 21, 2025 Fortis 1 - 1 Bangladesh Police Premier League
Jan 10, 2025 Bangladesh Police 1 - 1 Fortis Premier League
Dec 03, 2024 Bangladesh Police 0 - 0 Fortis Federation Cup
May 24, 2024 Bangladesh Police 1 - 2 Fortis Premier League
Feb 16, 2024 Fortis 2 - 1 Bangladesh Police Premier League
May 27, 2023 Bangladesh Police 4 - 2 Fortis Premier League
Jan 28, 2023 Fortis 1 - 1 Bangladesh Police Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bangladesh Police to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bangladesh Police Power 0
Fortis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.