AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 11, 2025

Ballymena United

Home
VS
19:45

Larne

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Ballymena United Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Larne Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ballymena United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Ballymena United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Ballymena… vs Dungannon… 0-3
Feb 22 Ballymena… vs Portadown 2-0
Feb 15 Ballymena… vs Crusaders… 3-1
Feb 07 Ballymena… vs Linfield 2-2
Jan 25 Ballymena… vs Larne 2-1
Jan 18 Ballymena… vs Carrick R… 0-0
Dec 30 Ballymena… vs Glentoran 0-2
Dec 26 Ballymena… vs Coleraine… 2-2
Dec 14 Ballymena… vs Dungannon… 0-1
Nov 30 Ballymena… vs Carrick R… 1-2
Larne Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-0
Feb 22 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-1
Feb 18 Larne vs Glentoran 1-1
Feb 15 Larne vs Portadown 2-0
Feb 11 Larne vs Linfield 1-0
Feb 08 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-1
Feb 04 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-2
Feb 01 Larne vs Portadown 1-1
Jan 25 Larne vs Ballymena… 2-1
Jan 14 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 25, 2025 Larne 2 - 1 Ballymena United Premiership
Sep 07, 2024 Larne 0 - 1 Ballymena United Premiership
Feb 17, 2024 Ballymena United 0 - 1 Larne Premiership
Dec 02, 2023 Ballymena United 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Aug 15, 2023 Larne 3 - 0 Ballymena United Premiership
Mar 31, 2023 Larne 0 - 2 Ballymena United Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ballymena United Power 0
Larne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Ballymena United Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Larne Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.