AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 25, 2025

Larne

Home
VS
15:00

Ballymena United

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Larne Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Ballymena United Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.77 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Ballymena United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Larne Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Jan 10 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Jan 07 Larne vs Crusaders… 1-3
Dec 26 Larne vs Carrick R… 0-0
Dec 23 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-1
Dec 01 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 1-1
Nov 16 Larne vs Linfield 0-1
Nov 10 Larne vs Coleraine… 2-1
Nov 02 Larne vs Glentoran 0-2
Oct 27 Larne vs Portadown 2-1
Ballymena United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Ballymena… vs Carrick R… 0-0
Dec 30 Ballymena… vs Glentoran 0-2
Dec 26 Ballymena… vs Coleraine… 2-2
Dec 14 Ballymena… vs Dungannon… 0-1
Nov 30 Ballymena… vs Carrick R… 1-2
Nov 16 Ballymena… vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Nov 09 Ballymena… vs Linfield 2-0
Nov 01 Ballymena… vs Portadown 0-3
Oct 26 Ballymena… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Oct 19 Ballymena… vs Coleraine… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ballymena United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2024 Larne 0 - 1 Ballymena United Premiership
Feb 17, 2024 Ballymena United 0 - 1 Larne Premiership
Dec 02, 2023 Ballymena United 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Aug 15, 2023 Larne 3 - 0 Ballymena United Premiership
Mar 31, 2023 Larne 0 - 2 Ballymena United Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Ballymena United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Ballymena United Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.