AI Match Insights

League Cup Aug 08, 2023

Plymouth

Home
VS
18:45

Leyton Orient

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Plymouth Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Leyton Orient Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.02 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Leyton Orient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Plymouth Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Plymouth vs Port Vale 1-3
Apr 29 Plymouth vs Brighton 1-0
Apr 25 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 2-0
Apr 10 Plymouth vs Lincoln 0-2
Apr 02 Plymouth vs Bolton 4-0
Feb 25 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 5-2
Jan 10 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 0-2
Jan 07 Plymouth vs Bolton 0-0
Dec 29 Plymouth vs Wycombe 1-0
Dec 02 Plymouth vs Port Vale 0-2
Leyton Orient Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 08 Leyton Or… vs Brentford 1-1
Apr 29 Leyton Or… vs Stockport… 0-3
Feb 04 Leyton Or… vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Jan 21 Leyton Or… vs Stevenage 3-0
Jan 07 Leyton Or… vs Doncaster 1-0
Dec 27 Leyton Or… vs Stevenage 0-0
Dec 03 Leyton Or… vs Brentford 3-0
Nov 19 Leyton Or… vs Stockport… 1-2
Nov 08 Leyton Or… vs AFC Wimbl… 2-0
Oct 08 Leyton Or… vs Doncaster 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 15, 2020 Leyton Orient 3 - 2 Plymouth League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Plymouth to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plymouth Power 33
Leyton Orient Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.