AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Mar 18, 2023

Hamburger SV

Home
VS
12:00

Holstein Kiel

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Hamburger SV Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Holstein Kiel Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 2.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Holstein Kiel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Hamburger SV Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Hamburger… vs SC Freibu… 6-2
Oct 14 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 3-0
Sep 09 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 2-3
Apr 19 Hamburger… vs SC Freibu… 1-3
Apr 10 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 1-0
Feb 27 Hamburger… vs Werder Br… 2-3
Jan 21 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 2-1
Oct 30 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 1-1
Sep 18 Hamburger… vs Werder Br… 0-2
Aug 13 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 3-2
Holstein Kiel Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Holstein … vs SC Paderb… 1-1
Feb 17 Holstein … vs Eintracht… 2-3
Feb 11 Holstein … vs FC Augsbu… 2-3
Jan 28 Holstein … vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
Jan 14 Holstein … vs Arminia B… 2-1
Sep 17 Holstein … vs Arminia B… 4-2
Sep 09 Holstein … vs Hamburger… 2-3
Aug 20 Holstein … vs SC Paderb… 7-2
Aug 13 Holstein … vs Eintracht… 3-0
Aug 07 Holstein … vs FC Augsbu… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hamburger SV struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 09, 2022 Holstein Kiel 2 - 3 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Apr 10, 2022 Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2021 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Mar 08, 2021 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Nov 09, 2020 Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 Hamburger SV 2. Bundesliga
Jun 08, 2020 Hamburger SV 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Holstein Kiel to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamburger SV Power 29
Holstein Kiel Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.