AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Nov 09, 2020

Holstein Kiel

Home
VS
19:30

Hamburger SV

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Holstein Kiel Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Hamburger SV Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.84 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Holstein Kiel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Holstein Kiel Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Holstein … vs SpVgg Gre… 1-3
Sep 26 Holstein … vs Eintracht… 0-0
Sep 20 Holstein … vs SC Paderb… 1-0
Jun 18 Holstein … vs Dynamo Dr… 2-0
Jun 08 Holstein … vs Hamburger… 3-3
May 30 Holstein … vs Arminia B… 1-2
May 24 Holstein … vs VfB Stutt… 3-2
Hamburger SV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 2-2
Jun 08 Hamburger… vs Holstein … 3-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 08, 2020 Hamburger SV 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Holstein Kiel to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 88
Holstein Kiel Power 45
Hamburger SV Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.