AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Nov 02, 2024

Bayern Munich

Home
VS
14:30

Union Berlin

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Union Berlin Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.18 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Union Berlin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Bayern Munich Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Bayern Mu… vs FSV Mainz… 0-4
Oct 27 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Bochum 0-5
Oct 19 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 4-0
Oct 19 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 4-0
Oct 06 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 3-3
Sep 28 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Sep 21 Bayern Mu… vs Werder Br… 0-5
Sep 14 Bayern Mu… vs Holstein … 1-6
Sep 01 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Sep 01 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Union Berlin Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Union Ber… vs Arminia B… 2-0
Oct 27 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Oct 27 Union Ber… vs Geestemün… 1-5
Oct 27 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Oct 20 Union Ber… vs Hemelingen 5-2
Oct 20 Union Ber… vs Holstein … 0-2
Oct 13 Union Ber… vs Eiche Horn 1-3
Oct 05 Union Ber… vs Borussia … 2-1
Oct 05 Union Ber… vs Borussia … 2-1
Sep 28 Union Ber… vs M'gladbach 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Union Berlin struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Union Berlin 1 - 5 Bayern Munich Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Union Berlin 1 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2024 Bayern Munich 1 - 0 Union Berlin Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2024 Bayern Munich 1 - 0 Union Berlin Pro League
Feb 26, 2023 Bayern Munich 3 - 0 Union Berlin Bundesliga
Sep 03, 2022 Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Mar 19, 2022 Bayern Munich 4 - 0 Union Berlin Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2021 Union Berlin 2 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Apr 10, 2021 Bayern Munich 1 - 1 Union Berlin Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayern Munich Power 70
Union Berlin Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Union Berlin Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.