AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 03, 2022

Union Berlin

Home
VS
13:30

Bayern Munich

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Union Berlin Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Bayern Munich Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.41 - 1.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Union Berlin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Union Berlin Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Union Ber… vs Aumund-Ve… 2-1
Aug 20 Union Ber… vs RB Leipzig 2-1
Aug 14 Union Ber… vs FSV Mainz… 0-0
May 01 Union Ber… vs Habenhaus… 1-2
Apr 23 Union Ber… vs RB Leipzig 1-2
Apr 20 Union Ber… vs RB Leipzig 2-1
Apr 17 Union Ber… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Apr 10 Union Ber… vs Geestemün… 1-0
Apr 01 Union Ber… vs FC Koln 1-0
Mar 20 Union Ber… vs Hemelingen 1-3
Bayern Munich Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-0
Jul 30 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzig 3-5
May 14 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-2
May 08 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 2-2
Apr 30 Bayern Mu… vs FSV Mainz… 3-1
Apr 09 Bayern Mu… vs FC Augsbu… 1-0
Apr 02 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 1-4
Mar 19 Bayern Mu… vs Union Ber… 4-0
Mar 08 Bayern Mu… vs RB Salzbu… 7-1
Feb 16 Bayern Mu… vs RB Salzbu… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union Berlin in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2022 Bayern Munich 4 - 0 Union Berlin Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2021 Union Berlin 2 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Apr 10, 2021 Bayern Munich 1 - 1 Union Berlin Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bayern Munich to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Union Berlin Power 46
Bayern Munich Power 70
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Union Berlin Position

-8

Position Gap

1

Bayern Munich Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.