AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Jan 19, 2025

Aris Thessaloniki

Home
VS
17:00

PAOK

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Aris Thessaloniki Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
PAOK Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.48 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Aris Thessaloniki Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 2-1
Dec 23 Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… 2-1
Dec 03 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 1-1
Nov 30 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 4-0
Nov 09 Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… 2-1
Nov 03 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 3-1
Oct 30 Aris Thes… vs AEK Athen… 1-0
Oct 27 Aris Thes… vs Panathina… 1-1
Sep 29 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 0-1
Sep 21 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 2-1
PAOK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 PAOK vs Kavala 3-0
Jan 12 PAOK vs Volos NFC 1-2
Jan 09 PAOK vs AEK Athen… 1-1
Jan 05 PAOK vs Panathina… 2-1
Jan 05 PAOK vs Panathina… 2-1
Dec 22 PAOK vs Atromitos 3-0
Dec 22 PAOK vs Atromitos 3-0
Dec 18 PAOK vs AEK Athen… 1-0
Dec 16 PAOK vs Kampaniak… 1-3
Dec 15 PAOK vs Panetolik… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aris Thessaloniki struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • PAOK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
May 19, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Mar 10, 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Jan 07, 2024 Aris Thessaloniki 2 - 1 PAOK Super League 1
Sep 17, 2023 PAOK 0 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Apr 30, 2023 PAOK 3 - 2 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Mar 19, 2023 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Sep 04, 2022 Aris Thessaloniki 0 - 0 PAOK Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Thessaloniki Power 0
PAOK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Aris Thessaloniki Position

-3

Position Gap

3

PAOK Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.