AI Match Insights
Super League 1 Jan 07, 2024
Aris Thessaloniki
HomeVS
17:30
PAOK
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Aris Thessaloniki Win
Draw
PAOK Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Combined: 59%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
Aris Thessaloniki Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 03 | Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… | 3-2 |
| Nov 26 | Aris Thes… vs Panathina… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… | 4-1 |
| Sep 24 | Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Aris Thes… vs PAOK | 0-0 |
| Sep 03 | Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… | 3-2 |
| May 14 | Aris Thes… vs Panathina… | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | Aris Thes… vs PAOK | 3-2 |
| Apr 26 | Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… | 2-2 |
PAOK Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 04 | PAOK vs Kampaniak… | 2-0 |
| Jan 03 | PAOK vs OFI Crete | 4-0 |
| Dec 21 | PAOK vs Kifisia | 0-6 |
| Dec 11 | PAOK vs Niki Volos | 3-2 |
| Dec 07 | PAOK vs Volos NFC | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | PAOK vs Panserrai… | 5-0 |
| Nov 12 | PAOK vs Panetolik… | 2-1 |
| Nov 05 | PAOK vs Olympiako… | 2-4 |
| Nov 05 | PAOK vs MTK Budap… | 0-0 |
| Oct 29 | PAOK vs Makedonik… | 3-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- PAOK in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | PAOK | 0 - 0 | Aris Thessaloniki | Super League 1 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | PAOK | 3 - 2 | Aris Thessaloniki | Super League 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Aris Thessaloniki | 1 - 2 | PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Jan 04, 2023 | PAOK | 1 - 0 | Aris Thessaloniki | Super League 1 |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Aris Thessaloniki | 0 - 0 | PAOK | Super League 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Aris Thessaloniki Power
0
PAOK Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Aris Thessaloniki Position-3
Position Gap3
PAOK Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.