AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Apr 30, 2023

PAOK

Home
VS
17:00

Aris Thessaloniki

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
PAOK Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Aris Thessaloniki Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.17 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
PAOK Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 PAOK vs Aris Thes… 1-2
Mar 18 PAOK vs Makedonik… 3-3
Mar 04 PAOK vs Zalaegers… 3-1
Feb 25 PAOK vs Puskás Ak… 1-4
Jan 21 PAOK vs Iraklis 1… 1-0
Jan 14 PAOK vs OFI Crete 0-0
Jan 04 PAOK vs Aris Thes… 1-0
Dec 28 PAOK vs Atromitos 1-1
Dec 22 PAOK vs Niki Volos 2-0
Dec 22 PAOK vs Panetolik… 0-2
Aris Thessaloniki Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 2-1
Apr 02 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 2-2
Mar 19 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 1-2
Jan 25 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 0-1
Jan 11 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-0
Jan 08 Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… 3-0
Jan 04 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 1-0
Dec 29 Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… 1-0
Dec 21 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-1
Dec 16 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • PAOK in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2023 Aris Thessaloniki 1 - 2 PAOK Super League 1
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Sep 04, 2022 Aris Thessaloniki 0 - 0 PAOK Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PAOK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PAOK Power 0
Aris Thessaloniki Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

PAOK Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Aris Thessaloniki Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.