AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Mar 19, 2023

Aris Thessaloniki

Home
VS
17:00

PAOK

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Aris Thessaloniki Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
PAOK Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.32 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Thessaloniki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
PAOK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Aris Thessaloniki Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Aris Thes… vs Olympiako… 0-1
Jan 11 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-0
Jan 08 Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… 3-0
Jan 04 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 1-0
Dec 29 Aris Thes… vs Panetolik… 1-0
Dec 21 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-1
Dec 16 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 1-2
Sep 11 Aris Thes… vs Asteras T… 0-2
Sep 04 Aris Thes… vs PAOK 0-0
Aug 21 Aris Thes… vs Levadiakos 3-0
PAOK Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 PAOK vs Makedonik… 3-3
Mar 04 PAOK vs Zalaegers… 3-1
Feb 25 PAOK vs Puskás Ak… 1-4
Jan 21 PAOK vs Iraklis 1… 1-0
Jan 14 PAOK vs OFI Crete 0-0
Jan 04 PAOK vs Aris Thes… 1-0
Dec 28 PAOK vs Atromitos 1-1
Dec 22 PAOK vs Niki Volos 2-0
Dec 22 PAOK vs Panetolik… 0-2
Sep 18 PAOK vs OFI Crete 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aris Thessaloniki in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 04, 2023 PAOK 1 - 0 Aris Thessaloniki Super League 1
Sep 04, 2022 Aris Thessaloniki 0 - 0 PAOK Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Thessaloniki Power 0
PAOK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Aris Thessaloniki Position

-3

Position Gap

3

PAOK Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.