AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Liga Feb 18, 2023

FK Crvena zvezda

Home
VS
14:00

Cukaricki

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
FK Crvena zvezda Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Cukaricki Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.06 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Crvena zvezda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Cukaricki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
FK Crvena zvezda Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 FK Crvena… vs Cukaricki 0-2
Nov 06 FK Crvena… vs Mladost L… 2-0
Sep 11 FK Crvena… vs Novi Pazar 1-2
Aug 27 FK Crvena… vs Javor 4-1
Jul 08 FK Crvena… vs Sturm Graz 1-1
Apr 11 FK Crvena… vs Javor 1-5
Oct 25 FK Crvena… vs Javor 0-0
Cukaricki Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Cukaricki vs Radnički … 3-2
Feb 04 Cukaricki vs FK Sparta… 1-3
Nov 10 Cukaricki vs FK Crvena… 0-2
Nov 04 Cukaricki vs Napredak 0-0
Oct 03 Cukaricki vs Radnicki … 2-2
Sep 05 Cukaricki vs Radnik Su… 0-4
Aug 15 Cukaricki vs Radnički … 1-1
Aug 07 Cukaricki vs FK Sparta… 2-0
Jul 24 Cukaricki vs Napredak 1-0
May 19 Cukaricki vs Napredak 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Crvena zvezda in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2022 Cukaricki 0 - 2 FK Crvena zvezda Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Crvena zvezda to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Crvena zvezda Power 0
Cukaricki Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FK Crvena zvezda Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Cukaricki Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.