AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Aug 04, 2024

Universitatea Craiova

Home
VS
16:00

Petrolul Ploiești

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Universitatea Craiova Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Petrolul Ploiești Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Petrolul Ploiești Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Universitatea Craiova Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 29 Universit… vs Uta Arad 0-0
Jul 28 Universit… vs CFR 1907 … 0-2
Jul 21 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 3-1
Jul 20 Universit… vs Uta Arad 4-2
Jul 12 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 0-0
May 19 Universit… vs Oţelul 0-2
May 13 Universit… vs Farul Con… 3-3
May 06 Universit… vs FCSB 2-0
May 04 Universit… vs Dinamo Bu… 3-3
Apr 29 Universit… vs Rapid 1-2
Petrolul Ploiești Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 29 Petrolul … vs Rapid 1-0
Jul 21 Petrolul … vs Dinamo Bu… 4-1
Jun 26 Petrolul … vs AFC Herma… 0-1
Apr 29 Petrolul … vs FC Botosa… 1-2
Apr 25 Petrolul … vs AFC Herma… 2-0
Apr 22 Petrolul … vs Uta Arad 1-1
Apr 13 Petrolul … vs Universit… 1-2
Apr 01 Petrolul … vs Dinamo Bu… 1-1
Mar 03 Petrolul … vs FCSB 1-0
Feb 29 Petrolul … vs Universit… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitatea Craiova in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Petrolul PloieČ™ti struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 2 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Feb 29, 2024 Petrolul Ploiești 2 - 3 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Nov 11, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 0 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Oct 22, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 3 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Jul 16, 2023 Petrolul Ploiești 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 16, 2023 Petrolul Ploiești 0 - 2 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Mar 05, 2023 Petrolul Ploiești 0 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Dec 02, 2022 Petrolul Ploiești 2 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Oct 15, 2022 Universitatea Craio… 2 - 1 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Aug 05, 2022 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Petrolul Ploiești Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universitatea Craiova to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Petrolul Ploiești Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitatea Craiova Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Petrolul Ploiești Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.