AI Match Insights
Primera División Oct 21, 2023
Bolívar
HomeVS
21:00
Nacional Potosí
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bolívar Win
Draw
Nacional Potosí Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolívar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Nacional Potosí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Bolívar Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 04 | Bolívar vs Blooming | 6-1 |
| Jul 30 | Bolívar vs Oriente P… | 1-1 |
| Jul 23 | Bolívar vs The Stron… | 3-0 |
| Jul 02 | Bolívar vs Oriente P… | 0-2 |
| May 14 | Bolívar vs Oriente P… | 2-1 |
| Apr 30 | Bolívar vs Nacional … | 3-2 |
| Feb 26 | Bolívar vs Oriente P… | 4-0 |
| Feb 18 | Bolívar vs The Stron… | 3-2 |
| Oct 15 | Bolívar vs Nacional … | 3-1 |
| Oct 01 | Bolívar vs Oriente P… | 0-0 |
Nacional Potosí Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11 | Nacional … vs Oriente P… | 3-1 |
| Jun 24 | Nacional … vs The Stron… | 6-3 |
| May 13 | Nacional … vs Real Toma… | 3-1 |
| Apr 30 | Nacional … vs Bolívar | 3-2 |
| Feb 05 | Nacional … vs Oriente P… | 3-0 |
| Oct 15 | Nacional … vs Bolívar | 3-1 |
| Sep 16 | Nacional … vs The Stron… | 1-1 |
| Sep 01 | Nacional … vs Real Toma… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Nacional … vs Oriente P… | 4-0 |
| Aug 07 | Nacional … vs Bolívar | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Bolívar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Nacional Potosí in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Nacional Potosí | 3 - 2 | Bolívar | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Bolívar | 3 - 1 | Nacional Potosí | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 07, 2022 | Nacional Potosí | 2 - 1 | Bolívar | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Bolívar | 4 - 2 | Nacional Potosí | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bolívar to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Bolívar Power
0
Nacional Potosí Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.