AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 10, 2024

Melbourne Victory

Home
VS
06:30

Macarthur FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Macarthur FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.88 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Melbourne Victory Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Melbourne… vs Sydney 1-1
Jan 19 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-1
Jan 13 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-1
Jan 06 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 2-3
Dec 30 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Dec 16 Melbourne… vs Sydney 3-0
Dec 10 Melbourne… vs Western S… 3-4
Dec 03 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-2
Nov 24 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 1-1
Macarthur FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Macarthur… vs Western S… 4-3
Jan 28 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 2-2
Jan 18 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 1-3
Jan 08 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-1
Jan 05 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Jan 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 3-1
Dec 23 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Dec 18 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 0-3
Dec 09 Macarthur… vs Sydney 0-2
Dec 04 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 4-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 24, 2023 Macarthur FC 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory A-League
Apr 23, 2023 Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 11, 2022 Macarthur FC 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory A-League
Apr 22, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 4 Melbourne Victory A-League
Mar 04, 2022 Melbourne Victory 3 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
May 14, 2021 Macarthur FC 3 - 1 Melbourne Victory A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Power 0
Macarthur FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Melbourne Victory Position

-4

Position Gap

4

Macarthur FC Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.