AI Match Insights

A-League May 14, 2021

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
09:05

Melbourne Victory

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Melbourne Victory Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Melbourne Victory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Macarthur FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Melbourne Victory Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Melbourne… vs Western S… 5-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Melbourne Victory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Melbourne Victory Position

Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.