AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Dec 07, 2025

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
03:10

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruz Azul Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.58 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Tigres UANL Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Nov 30 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 5-0
Nov 27 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 3-0
Nov 08 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-1
Nov 02 Tigres UA… vs Monterrey 1-1
Oct 25 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Oct 23 Tigres UA… vs Pachuca 1-2
Oct 18 Tigres UA… vs Necaxa 5-3
Oct 05 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs Querétaro 0-2
Cruz Azul Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Dec 01 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 3-2
Nov 28 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Nov 09 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 2-3
Nov 01 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 0-3
Oct 26 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 2-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Necaxa 1-1
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 2-1
Oct 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Sep 29 Cruz Azul vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 04, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 05, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
May 02, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
Apr 24, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champ…
Feb 16, 2025 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.