AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Dec 04, 2025

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
01:00

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tigres UANL Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.77 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Cruz Azul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 3-2
Nov 28 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Nov 09 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 2-3
Nov 01 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 0-3
Oct 26 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 2-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Necaxa 1-1
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 2-1
Oct 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Sep 29 Cruz Azul vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Sep 25 Cruz Azul vs Querétaro 2-2
Tigres UANL Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 5-0
Nov 27 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 3-0
Nov 08 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-1
Nov 02 Tigres UA… vs Monterrey 1-1
Oct 25 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Oct 23 Tigres UA… vs Pachuca 1-2
Oct 18 Tigres UA… vs Necaxa 5-3
Oct 05 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs Querétaro 0-2
Sep 25 Tigres UA… vs Atlas 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
May 02, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
Apr 24, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champ…
Feb 16, 2025 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.