AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Dec 17, 2023

Bayern Munich

Home
VS
18:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
VfB Stuttgart Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.01 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Bayern Munich Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 Bayern Mu… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Dec 09 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 5-1
Nov 29 Bayern Mu… vs FC Copenh… 0-0
Nov 24 Bayern Mu… vs FC Koln 0-1
Nov 24 Bayern Mu… vs FC Koln 0-1
Nov 11 Bayern Mu… vs FC Heiden… 4-2
Oct 21 Bayern Mu… vs FSV Mainz… 1-3
Oct 08 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 3-0
Sep 30 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzig 2-2
Aug 27 Bayern Mu… vs FC Augsbu… 3-1
VfB Stuttgart Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Dec 10 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Dec 06 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 2-0
Dec 02 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-0
Dec 02 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-0
Nov 25 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-2
Nov 25 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-2
Nov 11 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 2-1
Oct 31 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 1-0
Oct 28 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2022 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
May 08, 2022 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Mar 20, 2021 Bayern Munich 4 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich to win (87% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 87% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayern Munich Power 70
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Position

+3

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.