AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Mar 20, 2022

Douanes

Home
VS
18:15

RCK

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Douanes Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
RCK Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.25 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Douanes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
RCK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Douanes Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Douanes vs USFA 1-0
Dec 29 Douanes vs USFA 0-1
Dec 05 Douanes vs RCK 1-1
Nov 28 Douanes vs RC Bobo-D… 0-0
Nov 21 Douanes vs Majestic … 0-0
Oct 23 Douanes vs ASFB 0-1
Jun 26 Douanes vs Majestic … 0-2
May 30 Douanes vs Rahimo 2-1
May 24 Douanes vs RC Bobo-D… 0-0
May 16 Douanes vs USFA 2-2
RCK Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 4-1
Dec 12 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 0-1
Dec 05 RCK vs Douanes 1-1
Oct 17 RCK vs Vitesse 3-1
Sep 25 RCK vs RC Bobo-D… 0-0
Jun 23 RCK vs RC Bobo-D… 0-0
Apr 17 RCK vs Douanes 3-1
Mar 07 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 1-0
Dec 20 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 0-0
Nov 07 RCK vs Douanes 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • RCK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 05, 2021 RCK 1 - 1 Douanes Ligue 1
Apr 17, 2021 Douanes 3 - 1 RCK Ligue 1
Nov 07, 2020 RCK 2 - 1 Douanes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Douanes Power 0
RCK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Douanes Position

-1

Position Gap

7

RCK Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.