AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Oct 27, 2023

Stade Nyonnais

Home
VS
17:30

Bellinzona

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Stade Nyonnais Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bellinzona Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.72 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Nyonnais Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Bellinzona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Stade Nyonnais Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Oct 01 Stade Nyo… vs Bellinzona 1-0
Sep 26 Stade Nyo… vs FC WIL 19… 2-0
Sep 01 Stade Nyo… vs FC Aarau 0-2
Aug 06 Stade Nyo… vs FC Vaduz 2-1
May 13 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 1-0
Nov 05 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 2-0
Jun 04 Stade Nyo… vs Bellinzona 1-2
May 13 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 1-0
Aug 14 Stade Nyo… vs FC WIL 19… 0-1
Bellinzona Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 1-2
Oct 01 Bellinzona vs Stade Nyo… 1-0
Sep 22 Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz 0-4
Sep 01 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Aug 13 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 1-3
Jul 23 Bellinzona vs FC WIL 19… 0-2
May 19 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 3-0
May 12 Bellinzona vs FC WIL 19… 3-2
Apr 16 Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz 1-6
Jun 04 Bellinzona vs Stade Nyo… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 01, 2023 Bellinzona 1 - 0 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Jun 04, 2022 Stade Nyonnais 1 - 2 Bellinzona 1. Liga Promot…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Nyonnais Power 0
Bellinzona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Stade Nyonnais Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Bellinzona Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.