AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Mar 29, 2025

Rutsiro

Home
VS
13:00

Gorilla

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Rutsiro Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Gorilla Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.80 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rutsiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Gorilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 0-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Rutsiro Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 2-1
Feb 15 Rutsiro vs Amagaju 0-0
Dec 29 Rutsiro vs Gorilla 1-2
Dec 20 Rutsiro vs Amagaju 2-1
Nov 30 Rutsiro vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Nov 24 Rutsiro vs Mukura 3-0
Sep 21 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 0-0
Sep 15 Rutsiro vs Bugesera 2-3
May 28 Rutsiro vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
May 21 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 0-2
Gorilla Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
Feb 16 Gorilla vs Musanze 1-0
Dec 29 Gorilla vs Rutsiro 1-2
Dec 21 Gorilla vs Musanze 1-0
Dec 15 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Nov 30 Gorilla vs Gasogi Un… 2-2
Nov 24 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-2
Nov 03 Gorilla vs APR 0-0
Oct 20 Gorilla vs Police 0-0
Sep 22 Gorilla vs Marines 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rutsiro in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Gorilla struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2024 Gorilla 1 - 2 Rutsiro National Socce…
Apr 30, 2023 Gorilla 1 - 5 Rutsiro National Socce…
Nov 03, 2022 Rutsiro 0 - 0 Gorilla National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Gorilla 0 - 0 Rutsiro National Socce…
Dec 30, 2021 Rutsiro 1 - 0 Gorilla National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rutsiro Power 0
Gorilla Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Rutsiro Position

-2

Position Gap

13

Gorilla Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.