AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Dec 29, 2024

Gorilla

Home
VS
13:00

Rutsiro

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Gorilla Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Rutsiro Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.33 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gorilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Rutsiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Gorilla Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Gorilla vs Musanze 1-0
Dec 15 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Nov 30 Gorilla vs Gasogi Un… 2-2
Nov 24 Gorilla vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-2
Nov 03 Gorilla vs APR 0-0
Oct 20 Gorilla vs Police 0-0
Sep 22 Gorilla vs Marines 1-0
May 03 Gorilla vs APR 2-0
Apr 21 Gorilla vs Musanze 1-0
Mar 30 Gorilla vs Police 2-0
Rutsiro Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Rutsiro vs Amagaju 2-1
Nov 30 Rutsiro vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Nov 24 Rutsiro vs Mukura 3-0
Sep 21 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 0-0
Sep 15 Rutsiro vs Bugesera 2-3
May 28 Rutsiro vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
May 21 Rutsiro vs AS Kigali 0-2
Apr 30 Rutsiro vs Gorilla 1-5
Feb 17 Rutsiro vs Bugesera 3-0
Feb 04 Rutsiro vs Mukura 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rutsiro in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 30, 2023 Gorilla 1 - 5 Rutsiro National Socce…
Nov 03, 2022 Rutsiro 0 - 0 Gorilla National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Gorilla 0 - 0 Rutsiro National Socce…
Dec 30, 2021 Rutsiro 1 - 0 Gorilla National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gorilla Power 0
Rutsiro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Gorilla Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Rutsiro Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.