AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 19, 2023

Boreham Wood

Home
VS
18:45

Rochdale

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Boreham Wood Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Rochdale Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.69 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boreham Wood Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Boreham Wood Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 Boreham W… vs York 2-2
Aug 19 Boreham W… vs Altrincham 1-1
Aug 16 Boreham W… vs Solihull … 1-2
Aug 12 Boreham W… vs FC Halifa… 2-0
Aug 05 Boreham W… vs Gateshead 2-2
Apr 25 Boreham W… vs Gateshead 0-2
Apr 15 Boreham W… vs Wealdstone 1-0
Mar 18 Boreham W… vs Solihull … 2-0
Feb 25 Boreham W… vs Scunthorpe 2-0
Feb 21 Boreham W… vs York 1-1
Rochdale Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 2-0
Jan 21 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-0
Dec 26 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-2
Apr 18 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Dec 08 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Sep 08 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rochdale struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boreham Wood Power 43
Rochdale Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Boreham Wood Position

-5

Position Gap

1

Rochdale Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 79%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.