AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 14, 2024

Coleraine FC

Home
VS
14:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Coleraine FC Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Carrick Rangers Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.05 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Coleraine FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Coleraine FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Coleraine… vs Larne 1-1
Aug 24 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 0-2
Aug 20 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 0-0
Aug 16 Coleraine… vs Ballymena… 4-2
Jul 20 Coleraine… vs Armagh Ci… 1-0
Jul 13 Coleraine… vs Moyola Pa… 1-3
Jul 06 Coleraine… vs Comber Rec 5-2
May 06 Coleraine… vs Crusaders… 3-2
May 01 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 0-3
Apr 27 Coleraine… vs Larne 5-0
Carrick Rangers Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Carrick R… vs Portadown 0-1
Aug 31 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 2-1
Aug 23 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-3
Jul 23 Carrick R… vs Bangor 1-3
May 01 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 3-1
Apr 13 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 2-1
Apr 06 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 3-2
Apr 02 Carrick R… vs Linfield 2-3
Mar 16 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-2
Feb 17 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2024 Coleraine FC 0 - 2 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 25, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Aug 15, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Coleraine FC Premiership
Jan 24, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 05, 2022 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Aug 23, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 4 Coleraine FC Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Coleraine FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coleraine FC Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Coleraine FC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.