AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 20, 2024

Coleraine FC

Home
VS
15:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Coleraine FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Carrick Rangers Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.03 - 1.52
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Coleraine FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Coleraine FC Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 6-0
Jan 05 Coleraine… vs Cliftonvi… 0-3
Dec 26 Coleraine… vs Ballymena… 3-1
Dec 22 Coleraine… vs Linfield 2-1
Dec 05 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 2-3
Dec 02 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 1-1
Nov 25 Coleraine… vs Carrick R… 1-1
Nov 17 Coleraine… vs Larne 2-0
Nov 13 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 0-0
Nov 07 Coleraine… vs Ballymena… 1-1
Carrick Rangers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 06 Carrick R… vs Portadown 1-1
Dec 30 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Dec 26 Carrick R… vs Larne 1-2
Dec 15 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-2
Dec 08 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 0-1
Nov 25 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 1-1
Nov 19 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 0-3
Nov 11 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-3
Nov 04 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-3
Oct 20 Carrick R… vs Larne 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coleraine FC struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Aug 15, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Coleraine FC Premiership
Jan 24, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 05, 2022 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Aug 23, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 4 Coleraine FC Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Coleraine FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coleraine FC Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Coleraine FC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.