AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Nov 25, 2023

Coleraine FC

Home
VS
15:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Coleraine FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Carrick Rangers Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.83 - 1.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Coleraine FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Coleraine FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 Coleraine… vs Larne 2-0
Nov 13 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 0-0
Nov 07 Coleraine… vs Ballymena… 1-1
Oct 28 Coleraine… vs Cliftonvi… 1-2
Oct 21 Coleraine… vs Ballymena… 3-1
Oct 07 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 4-1
Oct 03 Coleraine… vs Bangor 2-1
Sep 26 Coleraine… vs Cliftonvi… 5-0
Sep 22 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 1-2
Sep 02 Coleraine… vs Linfield 1-3
Carrick Rangers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 0-3
Nov 11 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-3
Nov 04 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-3
Oct 20 Carrick R… vs Larne 2-0
Oct 13 Carrick R… vs Linfield 1-2
Sep 30 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 2-1
Sep 22 Carrick R… vs Larne 4-1
Sep 09 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 0-1
Sep 01 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 2-1
Aug 26 Carrick R… vs Linfield 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coleraine FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Carrick Rangers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Coleraine FC Premiership
Jan 24, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 05, 2022 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Aug 23, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 4 Coleraine FC Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Coleraine FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coleraine FC Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Coleraine FC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.