AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 24, 2023

Coleraine FC

Home
VS
19:45

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Coleraine FC Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Carrick Rangers Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Coleraine FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Coleraine FC Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Coleraine… vs Ballymena… 2-0
Nov 05 Coleraine… vs Carrick R… 0-1
Aug 23 Coleraine… vs Carrick R… 2-4
Sep 14 Coleraine… vs Bangor 0-5
Carrick Rangers Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 3-3
Dec 26 Carrick R… vs Larne 0-0
Dec 03 Carrick R… vs Linfield 3-1
Nov 19 Carrick R… vs Portadown 2-0
Nov 08 Carrick R… vs Portadown 2-0
Nov 05 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 0-1
Oct 07 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 5-0
Sep 23 Carrick R… vs Larne 0-1
Aug 28 Carrick R… vs Linfield 2-1
Aug 23 Carrick R… vs Coleraine… 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coleraine FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2022 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Aug 23, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 4 Coleraine FC Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Coleraine FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coleraine FC Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Coleraine FC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.