AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 08, 2025

Kelty Hearts

Home
VS
15:00

Montrose

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Kelty Hearts Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Montrose Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.90 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Montrose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Kelty Hearts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 0-1
Feb 25 Kelty Hea… vs Arbroath 2-1
Feb 15 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 2-0
Jan 11 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 0-0
Jan 04 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-0
Dec 21 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 2-0
Dec 17 Kelty Hea… vs Arbroath 3-2
Dec 14 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 0-0
Dec 07 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Nov 30 Kelty Hea… vs Elgin City 3-2
Montrose Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Montrose vs Inverness… 1-1
Feb 22 Montrose vs Queen of … 0-3
Feb 11 Montrose vs Rangers FC 1-1
Feb 08 Montrose vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Feb 01 Montrose vs Stenhouse… 0-3
Jan 18 Montrose vs Queen's P… 3-2
Jan 04 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 0-0
Dec 14 Montrose vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Dec 07 Montrose vs Inverness… 2-3
Nov 30 Montrose vs Peterhead 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 04, 2025 Montrose 0 - 0 Kelty Hearts League One
Oct 19, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Montrose League One
Aug 03, 2024 Montrose 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Apr 27, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Montrose League One
Feb 17, 2024 Montrose 4 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Dec 16, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Montrose League One
Aug 05, 2023 Montrose 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Mar 18, 2023 Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Montrose League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Montrose Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Kelty Hearts Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Montrose Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.