AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Oct 19, 2024

Kelty Hearts

Home
VS
14:00

Montrose

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Kelty Hearts Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Montrose Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.79 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Montrose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Kelty Hearts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Kelty Hea… vs Dunfermli… 2-1
Oct 05 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 1-5
Sep 21 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Sep 14 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 1-3
Sep 07 Kelty Hea… vs Elgin City 3-1
Aug 17 Kelty Hea… vs Arbroath 0-3
Aug 10 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 2-0
Aug 03 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 1-1
Jul 23 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 0-1
Jul 09 Kelty Hea… vs Hearts U21 2-5
Montrose Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Montrose vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Sep 14 Montrose vs Stenhouse… 3-0
Sep 07 Montrose vs Arbroath 3-0
Aug 31 Montrose vs Rangers FC 1-0
Aug 24 Montrose vs Queen of … 1-0
Aug 17 Montrose vs Inverness… 1-1
Aug 03 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 1-1
Jul 13 Montrose vs Partick 3-2
Jul 06 Montrose vs Spartans 2-2
May 11 Montrose vs Inverness… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kelty Hearts struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 Montrose 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Apr 27, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Montrose League One
Feb 17, 2024 Montrose 4 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Dec 16, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Montrose League One
Aug 05, 2023 Montrose 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Mar 18, 2023 Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Montrose League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Montrose Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Kelty Hearts Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Montrose Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.