AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 03, 2024

Montrose

Home
VS
14:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Montrose Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Kelty Hearts Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.97 - 3.09
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Montrose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-3 (5%) 3-3 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 1-3 (3%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Montrose Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Montrose vs Partick 3-2
Jul 06 Montrose vs Spartans 2-2
May 11 Montrose vs Inverness… 1-0
May 07 Montrose vs Inverness… 0-0
May 04 Montrose vs Queen of … 3-2
Apr 27 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Apr 20 Montrose vs Hamilton … 1-2
Apr 16 Montrose vs Edinburgh… 1-0
Apr 13 Montrose vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Mar 30 Montrose vs Falkirk 1-7
Kelty Hearts Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 0-1
Jul 09 Kelty Hea… vs Hearts U21 2-5
Jul 06 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 2-1
May 04 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 4-1
Apr 27 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-2
Apr 20 Kelty Hea… vs Falkirk 2-2
Apr 13 Kelty Hea… vs Stirling … 1-0
Apr 06 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 1-2
Mar 30 Kelty Hea… vs Edinburgh… 3-1
Mar 23 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kelty Hearts struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Montrose League One
Feb 17, 2024 Montrose 4 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Dec 16, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Montrose League One
Aug 05, 2023 Montrose 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Mar 18, 2023 Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Montrose League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Montrose to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Montrose Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Montrose Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Kelty Hearts Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.