AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 17, 2024

Montrose

Home
VS
15:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Montrose Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Kelty Hearts Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.98 - 1.69
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Montrose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Montrose Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Montrose vs Morton 2-0
Dec 30 Montrose vs Rangers FC 1-1
Dec 23 Montrose vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Dec 16 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 0-1
Dec 09 Montrose vs Queen of … 1-4
Nov 25 Montrose vs Edinburgh… 3-0
Nov 14 Montrose vs Rangers FC 1-0
Sep 09 Montrose vs Rangers FC 0-2
Sep 02 Montrose vs Queen of … 2-3
Aug 05 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Kelty Hearts Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 0-0
Jan 20 Kelty Hea… vs Ayr Utd 3-0
Jan 06 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 2-2
Dec 23 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 1-1
Dec 16 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-1
Nov 25 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 0-2
Nov 18 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 1-3
Nov 11 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 0-1
Oct 21 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Sep 30 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Montrose League One
Aug 05, 2023 Montrose 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Mar 18, 2023 Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Montrose League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Montrose to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Montrose Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Montrose Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Kelty Hearts Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.