AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 25, 2023

Peterhead

Home
VS
15:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Peterhead Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Alloa Athletic Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Peterhead Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 1-1
Feb 04 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Jan 02 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-0
Dec 03 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 3-0
Nov 05 Peterhead vs Montrose 3-0
Oct 22 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Sep 17 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 2-1
Sep 03 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-2
Aug 27 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 5-0
Apr 23 Peterhead vs East Fife 1-0
Alloa Athletic Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Alloa Ath… vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Mar 18 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 3-1
Mar 11 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 0-2
Mar 11 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 4-1
Mar 04 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 2-3
Feb 25 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 0-0
Feb 18 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 2-2
Feb 04 Alloa Ath… vs Peterhead 1-0
Jan 28 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 4-0
Jan 14 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2023 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Oct 22, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Aug 27, 2022 Alloa Athletic 5 - 0 Peterhead League One
Mar 19, 2022 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Feb 05, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Oct 16, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Peterhead League One
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peterhead Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Peterhead Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Alloa Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.