AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 04, 2023

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Peterhead

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Peterhead Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Alloa Athletic Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 4-0
Jan 14 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-1
Jan 14 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 1-1
Jan 07 Alloa Ath… vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Dec 23 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-2
Nov 26 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Nov 19 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 4-3
Nov 19 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 1-3
Nov 12 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 0-2
Nov 05 Alloa Ath… vs Alloa Ath… 1-4
Peterhead Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-0
Dec 03 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 3-0
Nov 05 Peterhead vs Montrose 3-0
Oct 22 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Sep 17 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 2-1
Sep 03 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-2
Aug 27 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 5-0
Apr 23 Peterhead vs East Fife 1-0
Mar 19 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Mar 12 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Aug 27, 2022 Alloa Athletic 5 - 0 Peterhead League One
Mar 19, 2022 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Feb 05, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Oct 16, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Peterhead League One
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Peterhead Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Alloa Athletic Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Peterhead Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.