AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 19, 2022

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Peterhead

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Peterhead Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.29 - 1.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Alloa Athletic Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 2-1
Mar 05 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 0-2
Feb 19 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-1
Feb 19 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-2
Feb 12 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 0-3
Feb 05 Alloa Ath… vs Peterhead 0-1
Jan 31 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-3
Jan 29 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-1
Jan 15 Alloa Ath… vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Dec 26 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 3-1
Peterhead Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-1
Mar 05 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 5-2
Feb 05 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 0-1
Jan 02 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 0-1
Dec 22 Peterhead vs Montrose 2-0
Nov 13 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 3-0
Oct 30 Peterhead vs Montrose 0-0
Oct 16 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 2-4
Sep 18 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 0-1
Aug 14 Peterhead vs Montrose 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Peterhead struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Oct 16, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Peterhead League One
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Peterhead Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Alloa Athletic Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Peterhead Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.