AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Oct 16, 2021

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
14:00

Peterhead

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Peterhead Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.58 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Alloa Athletic Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-1
Aug 14 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-1
Aug 07 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-0
Jul 31 Alloa Ath… vs Peterhead 2-0
Jul 24 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Apr 27 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-0
Apr 17 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Mar 30 Alloa Ath… vs Partick 2-2
Mar 06 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-1
Feb 27 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 3-1
Peterhead Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 0-1
Aug 14 Peterhead vs Montrose 1-0
Jul 31 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 2-0
Jul 17 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 3-1
Jul 13 Peterhead vs Inverness… 2-0
Mar 23 Peterhead vs Stenhouse… 0-1
Jan 02 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 1-0
Nov 10 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Peterhead Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Alloa Athletic Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Peterhead Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.