AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Jul 31, 2021

Peterhead

Home
VS
14:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Peterhead Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Alloa Athletic Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.28 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Peterhead Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 3-1
Jul 13 Peterhead vs Inverness… 2-0
Mar 23 Peterhead vs Stenhouse… 0-1
Jan 02 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 1-0
Nov 10 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 1-1
Alloa Athletic Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 24 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Apr 27 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-0
Apr 17 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Mar 30 Alloa Ath… vs Partick 2-2
Mar 06 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-1
Feb 27 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 3-1
Feb 23 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 2-2
Dec 26 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 2-5
Dec 19 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 2-1
Dec 12 Alloa Ath… vs Partick 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peterhead Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Peterhead Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Alloa Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.