AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Apr 28, 2024

CD Olimpia

Home
VS
21:30

Victoria

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
CD Olimpia Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Victoria Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.62 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Olimpia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Victoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
CD Olimpia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 CD Olimpia vs CD Marath… 2-1
Apr 14 CD Olimpia vs Olancho 1-0
Mar 10 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 4-0
Mar 03 CD Olimpia vs Victoria 0-0
Feb 18 CD Olimpia vs Olancho 0-0
Jan 28 CD Olimpia vs CD Marath… 1-1
Jan 21 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 2-2
Dec 10 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 2-0
Dec 08 CD Olimpia vs Génesis 0-1
Oct 08 CD Olimpia vs Victoria 1-1
Victoria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Victoria vs CD Marath… 1-0
Apr 14 Victoria vs Real Espa… 0-1
Mar 14 Victoria vs Génesis 0-0
Mar 03 Victoria vs CD Olimpia 0-0
Feb 29 Victoria vs CD Marath… 2-0
Feb 17 Victoria vs Real Espa… 2-2
Jan 28 Victoria vs Génesis 1-1
Nov 12 Victoria vs Génesis 2-2
Oct 08 Victoria vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Sep 18 Victoria vs Génesis 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Victoria 0 - 0 CD Olimpia Liga Nacional
Oct 08, 2023 CD Olimpia 1 - 1 Victoria Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

MASTER: CD Olimpia to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
CD Olimpia Power 0
Victoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.